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Name: Jim Knowlton
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Palin's Speech Tonight...

The convention crowd will go nuts, but the real test of the speech will be 3 or 4 days after the convention, in the polls. It will be interesting to see where it shakes out. Obama right now has about a 6 point lead in the RCP average. I think the magic number is about 3 percent. If in 3 or 4 days, Obama is still up by more than 3 points, he's going to feel pretty good. If less than 3 points, then I think McCain will feel like the convention did its job.

Then it's off to the debates...
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